Simulering av översvämningar i Nedre Dalälven
Mosquitoes are found in extremely large numbers in the lower parts of the River Dalälven. In the year 2000 the mosquito nuisance was especially high, resulting in foundation of the Biological mosquito control project. Since 2001 mosquito larvae are controlled by using a biological pesticide BTI (Bacillus thuringiensis ssp israelensis). The mosquito fauna in the area is dominated by flood water mosquitoes, a group of mosquitoes that are very aggressive and form new generations of mosquitoes during every single flooding event during the summer. To be able to efficiently control the mosquitoes it is essential to know the extension and locality of the flooding. A flooding event is evaluated by how high the water level will reach and at which time the top of the hydrograph is accruing. There is a need for a tool for short time prediction of flooding events in the Nedre Dalälven region. In this study a hydraulic model in the software HEC-RAS has been used, here called HEC-RAS NEDA. The hydraulic model came up with good results when predicting water surface levels. The validation process made from figures of a period with large amplitude in water levels showed that the modelled water level was within ± 0,05 m from the observed water stands. It is a stable model that can handle 100-year flows with quick changes in the flow. The correspondence is good concerning the water levels and it functions well when studying the top of the hydrograph. HEC-RAS NEDA is an accurate and easy to manage tool for prediction of flooding in the lake of Bysjön, Österviken and Färnebofjärden. Modelled results have been compared with the model made by Swedish meteorological and hydrological institute on the request of Räddningsverket. The results from the two models shows large discrepancies, probably because of low accuracy data entered into the model from Räddningsverket. Räddningsverket has used the Geographical Sweden Data height data bank´and I used the height data from a laser scanned digital terrain model. Area studies have also been made according to how the area of the water surface changes with the water stand. These studies show that during the flood in year 2000, 55 km2 was flooded based on laserscanning in Färnebofjärden.