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Konjunkturförändringar i åländsk ekonomi

Val av förklarande variabler för åländska företags omsättning


 This paper is made on behalf of Statistics and Research Åland, ÅSUB. The aim is to explain the turnover for companies in Åland, with appropriate variables. The main study variables are variables that consist of the Swedish and Finnish activity indices. The study variables also include variables which consist of tourists from Sweden and Finland and the introduction of the Euro in Finland. The data used is from the period January 1996 to June 2008.Different regression models for the turnover are tried and explanatory variables are selected by use of stepwise regression, backward elemination and forward selection. The final model includes activity indices for Sweden and Finland, the introduction of the Euro, tourists from Finland and an autoregressive component of order one . The Swedish activity index are time lagged by one and three months and therefore consists of two variables, while the Finnish activity index is not lagged. 

Författare

Jesper Gullquist

Lärosäte och institution

Linköpings universitet/Institutionen för datavetenskap

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