Att veta Gudarnas hemlighet
En sårbarhetsanalys av omständigheterna kring stormen Gudrun med pressure and release modellen
The concept of vulnerability is the capacity or the sensitivity to become damaged. Vulnerability are characterized by one or more of the following terms; a system´s sensitivity to exposure to shock, stress or interference, the state of the system in relations to a threshold of damages, and the system´s ability to adapt to the changing circumstances. Vulnerability in this study is referring to the sensitivity of the circumstances that lead to sustainable livelihood that can´t be maintain and that there is an inability to cope with and manage stress. The choice of making a study in this area is based on that action needs to be taken to moderate the vulnerable aspects of society, in this respect in relations to storms. Analyzes of the social vulnerability to climate change or natural events is needed for effective actions. The purpose of this study is to report on the vulnerability of the community- and household levels in relations with storms, in this case the storm Gudrun. The objective of this study is that it can be used as a basis for comparison with subsequent storms and also as a basis for preventive measures. The method used in this study is Pressure and Release Model (PAR) model ant it works like an explanatory model for the vulnerability involving the root causes of global, regional pressures and local vulnerable conditions. The results are that the root causes are forest policy, economic and political power and urbanization; the dynamic pressures are deficiencies in crisis management activities and population pressure in cities and the unsafe conditions are the countryside surrounded by forest, lack of resources and knowledge, and vulnerable electricity- and telephone networks.